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Very interesting. It aligns with a conversation I had recently with Dr. Lawrence Eppard of the Connors Forum, Shippensburg University. On my Outrage Overload podcast, sharing and discussing Social Sciences research is a core element. These meta-science questions are important to keep it legit.

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Great piece. So good, I will be assigning as a reading to a course I co-teach on the uses of SM in psychological research.

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Thank you! That’s very gratifying to hear, I hope your students find it useful

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I don't think prediction markets work as advertised for elections. They do about as well as polls, but that's because the participants have seen the poll results. https://johnquiggin.com/2007/11/27/polls-pundits-and-punters/

In particular, prediction markets don't seem to pick surprises before the polls do https://theconversation.com/betting-on-brexit-stakes-high-but-the-big-money-backs-remain-61318

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